CT CASHMERE THOUGHTS← Economics calculator

JAMIE WALLACE / COOKING VINYL

Deal + plant scenarios.

Meeting toy: honest proxies, visible assumptions, live edits.

A

Yussef recording agreement · 5-year benchmark path

ESTIMATE / COMMERCE COLOUR Proposed funding ask alongside volume benchmarks; these figures do not establish repayment or profit.

Not a closed audit or a claim of proven recoup.

Edit Row A release clock
ROW A RELEASE CLOCK · PROXY
  • Y1: Studio + ~2 lives
  • Y2: ~2 lives
  • Y3: ~2 lives
  • Early lives colour: Capetown / Kenya / Ethiopia
Release notes are descriptive only. They do not allocate all titles or prove the production schedule.
Live vinyl proxy71,790
Studio ask · scenario£400,000
Live ask · ceiling£1,500,000
Total ask · ceiling£1,900,000
Edit proposed ask components
VOLUME BENCHMARKS + FUNDING ASK · NOT RECOUPMENTVinyl PROXY ~92,790 units over 5 yrs · studio distributor sales colour £353,000 · ask ceiling £1,900,000.

Firm-pack scenario (studio titles + up to 5 live titles) = £1,150,000. Mixed-format benchmark: 92,790 units — live vinyl proxy plus studio physical units. This is neither verified vinyl demand nor revenue.

B

Cooking Vinyl group production scenarios · 7 years

PROXY / EDUCATED GUESS Not Rob-verified. Week-1 sales ≠ annual pressings.

SCENARIO A FORMULA2024 charted Path A LOW + non-chart/catalogue/post-wk1/outside-Top-40 uplift18,800 × (1 + 50%) = 28,200 discs/yr

Big inputs

7-year locked timeline economicsScenario A · educated guessScenario B · 2× AScenario C · 4× A
Annual CV group production PROXY
Total CV discs over horizon PROXY
Implied discs / working day
Years 1–stand-up · outsourcedCV volume + CT Row A titles; no plant saving
Outsource years
CV discs outsourced
Outsource cost · stand-up yearsstand-up discs × outsource £/unit
Remaining horizon · in-house plantYears after stand-up; compare with outsource counterfactual
In-house plant years
CV discs in-house
Outsource counterfactual plant-year discs × outsource £/unit
+ own variable plant-year discs × own £/unit
+ plant fixed + sustaining annual × in-house plant years
= in-house saving before CapEx shown only on plant years
Whole horizonCapEx is charged once during stand-up
Plant CapEx ask · once
All-outsource comparator all horizon discs × outsource £/unit
= actual timeline cost stand-up outsource + CapEx + in-house variable + fixed
Net vs all-outsource in-house saving − CapEx; no saving in Y1–Y3
£ saved vs outsource / horizon year
CV + CT post-start-up volume / year Unknown until CT releases are allocated to plant operating years
Positive = cheaper than outsourcing at that volume, before financingNegative = still dearer

CT fill: . . Do not use a mixed-format five-year sales benchmark as annual plant orders. CT production after stand-up requires the release schedule.

Y1–3: CV volume + CT Row A titles outsourced; Y4–7: remaining CV horizon in-house. CapEx is charged once during stand-up; no plant saving is counted in outsource years.